Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 3.841006 4.100324 4.380387 4.707560 5.082210 5.501494 6.011558
2025-03-02 3.362500 3.683489 4.047673 4.497704 5.048154 5.712801 6.598484
2025-03-09 3.063934 3.425631 3.852650 4.405943 5.123516 6.054451 7.416001
2025-03-16 2.782181 3.156924 3.612490 4.224512 5.056164 6.202261 8.025891
2025-03-23 2.622572 3.021015 3.520300 4.217482 5.215310 6.691331 9.304748
2025-03-30 2.470391 2.880591 3.407532 4.167731 5.306458 7.105242 10.653572
2025-04-06 2.322327 2.733600 3.272293 4.070053 5.311065 7.386842 11.923157
2025-04-13 2.175048 2.577437 3.111884 3.918610 5.209596 7.467476 12.845468
2025-04-20 2.109942 2.526145 3.091005 3.969796 5.442506 8.222328 16.011282
2025-04-27 2.055843 2.485581 3.081047 4.035460 5.712171 9.151012 20.974190
2025-05-04 2.020094 2.467465 3.101116 4.150047 6.093491 10.501106 31.028509
2025-05-11 1.964618 2.417684 3.069867 4.176091 6.312881 11.587324 45.765295
2025-05-18 1.891805 2.344660 3.006732 4.156789 6.473751 12.742117 79.784490
2025-05-25 1.804092 2.245566 2.897119 4.045687 6.422342 13.262474 135.775449
2025-06-01 1.740963 2.179389 2.834666 4.013097 6.543925 14.524649 980.357285
2025-06-08 1.664249 2.089409 2.728976 3.891099 6.436493 14.884363 NaN
2025-06-15 1.622130 2.049019 2.700031 3.909477 6.675695 17.030971 NaN
2025-06-22 1.574896 1.998511 2.651242 3.884711 6.804209 18.933616 NaN
2025-06-29 1.522391 1.937611 2.581705 3.812510 6.793351 20.142259 NaN
2025-07-06 1.463938 1.865354 2.489656 3.687856 6.616217 20.142739 NaN
2025-07-13 1.441113 1.846926 2.486441 3.741559 6.958474 24.680244 NaN
2025-07-20 1.421475 1.832398 2.488676 3.806736 7.361893 31.815355 NaN
2025-07-27 1.409484 1.829146 2.509837 3.914711 7.950915 47.173618 NaN